First Call Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 137.41
Price - 52 Week High: 143.84
Price - 52 Week Low: 86.64
Price Date (Latest): 4/14/21
Median Price Target: 148.00
Diff from Prev Close: 10.59
% Difference: 7.71

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.38

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: 0.80
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.23
Yield (%): 0.58

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Dec 23 13.32 14.26 12.31 13.15 5 -- 1 -0.10
Annual Dec 22 12.11 13.05 11.10 12.02 10 -- 1 -0.05
Annual Dec 21 10.63 11.03 10.24 10.68 11 -- 2 -0.08
Quarterly Mar 21 2.27 2.53 2.11 2.21 11 -- 2 -0.68
Quarterly Jun 21 2.63 2.87 2.38 2.65 11 -- 1 0.14
Quarterly Sep 21 2.68 2.85 2.42 2.72 11 2 -- -0.01
Quarterly Dec 21 3.05 3.52 2.78 3.04 11 2 -- 0.11
Long Term Growth 5.98 7.32 5.00 5.62 3 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Dec 20 11.12 10.33 7.62
Annual Dec 19 9.99 9.79 2.07
Annual Dec 18 9.53 9.49 0.43
Quarterly Dec 20 3.59 2.78 28.96
Quarterly Sep 20 2.88 1.94 48.28
Quarterly Jun 20 2.93 0.88 231.21
Quarterly Mar 20 1.73 2.57 -32.76

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 74.26
FY0 End Date: 12/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Dec 23 84.58 84.58 84.58 84.58 1 -- 1 -0.32
Annual Dec 22 82.86 86.97 78.75 82.86 2 -- 1 -4.30
Annual Dec 21 76.99 79.25 74.73 76.99 2 -- 1 -2.44

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Dec 20 74.26 72.62 2.26
Annual Dec 19 63.48 61.78 2.74
Annual Dec 18 59.00 57.43 2.73

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 27.58
FY0 End Date: 12/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Dec 23 21.26 21.26 21.26 21.26 1 -- 1 -0.32
Annual Dec 22 18.21 20.59 16.06 17.97 3 -- 1 -2.14
Annual Dec 21 14.04 15.90 11.57 14.66 3 -- 1 -12.31
Quarterly Mar 21 4.82 4.82 4.82 4.82 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Jun 21 4.74 4.74 4.74 4.74 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Sep 21 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 1 -- -- --
Quarterly Dec 21 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.91 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Dec 20 27.58 22.72 21.38
Annual Dec 19 16.16 15.21 6.22
Annual Dec 18 14.30 13.40 6.73
Quarterly Dec 20 1.66 4.41 -62.34
Quarterly Sep 20 8.96 4.06 120.69
Quarterly Jun 20 11.16 1.79 525.21
Quarterly Mar 20 5.81 4.50 29.25

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.20
FY0 End Date: 12/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Dec 23 0.62 0.86 -- 0.80 4 -- -- --
Annual Dec 22 0.67 0.88 -- 0.80 8 -- -- --
Annual Dec 21 0.66 0.84 -- 0.80 8 -- -- --
Quarterly Mar 21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 3 -- -- --
Quarterly Jun 21 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.20 3 -- -- --
Quarterly Sep 21 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.20 3 -- -- --
Quarterly Dec 21 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.20 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Dec 20 0.20 0.31 -36.36
Annual Dec 19 0.60 0.52 15.76
Annual Dec 18 0.40 0.40 --
Quarterly Dec 20 -- -- --
Quarterly Sep 20 -- -- --
Quarterly Jun 20 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,358.35
FY0 End Date: 12/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Dec 23 1,529.06 1,603.94 1,453.37 1,529.47 4 -- 1 -0.12
Annual Dec 22 1,417.23 1,481.46 1,371.39 1,431.00 7 -- 1 -0.07
Annual Dec 21 1,275.10 1,303.00 1,220.58 1,276.92 7 -- 1 -0.16
Quarterly Mar 21 276.45 310.11 261.10 267.29 4 -- -- --
Quarterly Jun 21 319.76 325.82 310.12 321.55 4 -- -- --
Quarterly Sep 21 325.85 337.27 301.51 332.30 4 -- -- --
Quarterly Dec 21 352.51 382.50 333.23 347.16 4 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Dec 20 1,358.35 1,286.12 5.62
Annual Dec 19 1,313.54 1,325.36 -0.89
Annual Dec 18 1,326.90 1,309.00 1.37
Quarterly Dec 20 413.96 347.62 19.08

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,860.01
FY0 End Date: 12/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Dec 23 2,102.25 2,199.03 2,038.62 2,085.68 4 -- 1 -0.08
Annual Dec 22 1,951.17 2,039.45 1,850.00 1,942.20 11 -- 1 -0.03
Annual Dec 21 1,809.91 1,882.00 1,765.30 1,800.00 11 -- 1 -0.07
Quarterly Mar 21 414.54 443.58 396.00 408.00 7 -- 1 -0.74
Quarterly Jun 21 450.18 480.60 433.00 446.30 7 -- -- --
Quarterly Sep 21 446.39 512.00 411.83 437.94 7 1 -- 0.04
Quarterly Dec 21 479.61 530.80 425.00 479.76 7 1 -- 0.17

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Dec 20 1,860.01 1,779.72 4.51
Annual Dec 19 1,802.22 1,807.78 -0.31
Annual Dec 18 1,761.77 1,756.72 0.29
Quarterly Dec 20 548.86 471.70 16.36
Quarterly Sep 20 472.82 378.08 25.06
Quarterly Jun 20 479.66 257.27 86.44
Quarterly Mar 20 358.67 457.43 -21.59

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 10.99
FY0 End Date: 12/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Dec 23 13.31 13.77 12.85 13.31 2 -- 1 -0.25
Annual Dec 22 12.13 13.03 11.60 11.85 5 -- 1 -0.10
Annual Dec 21 10.56 11.00 10.24 10.46 5 -- 1 -0.25
Quarterly Mar 21 2.24 2.47 2.11 2.19 4 -- -- --
Quarterly Jun 21 2.64 2.70 2.60 2.63 4 -- -- --
Quarterly Sep 21 2.72 2.85 2.53 2.75 4 -- -- --
Quarterly Dec 21 3.01 3.37 2.72 2.97 4 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Dec 20 10.99 10.26 7.10
Annual Dec 19 9.13 9.01 1.33
Annual Dec 18 8.31 8.95 -7.19
Quarterly Dec 20 3.60 2.90 24.14
Quarterly Sep 20 2.82 2.04 38.12
Quarterly Jun 20 2.95 0.72 309.72
Quarterly Mar 20 1.64 2.56 -35.94

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 2,631.76
FY0 End Date: 12/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Dec 23 2,501.49 3,530.80 1,472.18 2,501.49 2 1 -- 0.18
Annual Dec 22 2,910.01 3,382.74 2,187.28 3,160.00 3 1 -- 8.87
Annual Dec 21 2,932.39 3,213.00 2,546.21 2,985.18 4 1 -- 1.63

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Dec 20 2,631.76 3,003.69 -12.38
Annual Dec 19 3,922.86 3,967.91 -1.14
Annual Dec 18 3,893.41 3,919.65 -0.67

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 954.71
FY0 End Date: 12/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Dec 23 1,082.58 1,148.58 1,023.05 1,079.34 4 -- 1 -0.12
Annual Dec 22 1,003.59 1,056.90 962.90 1,002.12 8 -- 1 -0.06
Annual Dec 21 901.87 921.00 882.28 901.03 8 -- 1 -0.15
Quarterly Mar 21 194.51 217.22 185.77 187.53 4 -- -- --
Quarterly Jun 21 230.10 242.40 224.05 226.98 4 -- -- --
Quarterly Sep 21 219.46 237.41 204.60 217.91 4 -- -- --
Quarterly Dec 21 255.72 288.44 232.16 251.14 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Dec 20 954.71 878.67 8.65
Annual Dec 19 891.82 869.81 2.53
Annual Dec 18 894.35 887.08 0.82
Quarterly Dec 20 307.86 238.48 29.09
Quarterly Sep 20 246.48 147.15 67.51
Quarterly Jun 20 250.21 69.85 258.23
Quarterly Mar 20 150.16 221.05 -32.07

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Dec 23 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual Dec 22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual Dec 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly Dec 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly Sep 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly Jun 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly Mar 21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --
Dec 00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 16.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Dec 23 16.56 16.56 16.56 16.56 1 -- -- -0.20
Annual Dec 22 14.39 15.20 12.80 15.16 3 -- -- 3.12
Annual Dec 21 13.82 14.20 13.30 13.95 3 -- -- 0.65

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Dec 20 16.15 14.98 1.17
Annual Dec 19 16.37 15.92 0.45
Annual Dec 18 17.23 16.88 0.35

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 11,558.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual Dec 23 13,656.37 13,997.86 13,393.00 13,617.32 4 -- 1 -0.12
Annual Dec 22 12,797.74 13,223.93 12,466.86 12,789.00 9 -- 1 -0.05
Annual Dec 21 12,216.05 12,248.87 12,141.00 12,226.00 9 -- 1 -0.05
Quarterly Mar 21 2,956.55 2,984.43 2,885.10 2,967.00 7 -- 1 -0.28
Quarterly Jun 21 3,009.66 3,076.15 2,958.60 3,005.61 7 -- -- --
Quarterly Sep 21 3,059.47 3,114.90 3,027.02 3,048.00 7 -- -- --
Quarterly Dec 21 3,186.00 3,260.00 3,126.76 3,189.46 7 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual Dec 20 11,558.90 11,459.85 0.86
Annual Dec 19 11,378.26 11,365.42 0.11
Annual Dec 18 10,772.28 10,751.35 0.19
Quarterly Dec 20 3,086.94 2,985.24 3.41
Quarterly Sep 20 2,912.54 2,781.78 4.70
Quarterly Jun 20 2,729.75 2,448.14 11.50
Quarterly Mar 20 2,829.67 2,921.84 -3.15

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 12.36 12.93 11.35

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 2.84 13.97 9.99

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