First Call Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 108.14
Price - 52 Week High: 156.97
Price - 52 Week Low: 65.73
Price Date (Latest): 8/6/20
Median Price Target: 130.29
Diff from Prev Close: 22.15
% Difference: 20.48

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.25

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.99
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.98
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 11.84 16.88 10.67 11.21 9 6 2 2.62
Annual 12/1/21 10.43 12.24 9.33 10.15 13 9 3 3.01
Annual 12/1/20 8.87 11.25 4.11 9.03 11 9 -- 31.23
Quarterly 3/1/21 2.44 3.07 1.81 2.47 9 4 5 -2.42
Quarterly 6/1/21 2.66 3.12 2.35 2.57 9 5 2 3.04
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.79 3.09 -0.02 1.75 12 9 1 20.10
Quarterly 12/1/20 2.54 3.48 1.68 2.65 12 5 5 -1.83
Long Term Growth 9.87 18.99 3.92 6.70 3 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 9.99 9.78 2.14
Annual 12/1/18 9.53 9.49 0.43
Annual 12/1/17 7.53 7.38 2.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 2.93 0.74 297.81
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.73 2.55 -32.18
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.79 2.57 8.68
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.99 2.30 -13.57

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 63.48
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 83.27 91.08 79.35 81.33 4 4 -- 4.48
Annual 12/1/21 76.13 80.28 72.89 75.68 4 4 -- 4.55
Annual 12/1/20 70.13 71.62 68.97 69.97 4 4 -- 4.51

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 63.48 61.78 2.74
Annual 12/1/18 59.00 57.43 2.73
Annual 12/1/17 58.10 50.44 15.19

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 16.16
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 19.91 24.69 17.12 18.91 4 4 -- 1.27
Annual 12/1/21 17.76 22.11 15.29 15.49 5 2 3 1.35
Annual 12/1/20 17.87 27.59 13.72 16.83 5 5 -- 36.12
Quarterly 3/1/21 5.09 6.88 3.30 5.09 2 1 1 0.39
Quarterly 6/1/21 4.77 5.70 3.84 4.77 2 1 -- 27.88
Quarterly 9/1/20 4.06 5.08 3.04 4.06 2 2 -- 11.54
Quarterly 12/1/20 4.23 4.98 3.48 4.23 2 2 -- 5.49

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 16.16 15.21 6.22
Annual 12/1/18 14.30 13.40 6.73
Annual 12/1/17 12.28 11.78 4.26
Quarterly 6/1/20 11.16 1.79 525.21
Quarterly 3/1/20 5.81 4.50 29.25
Quarterly 12/1/19 4.44 4.15 7.12
Quarterly 9/1/19 4.81 3.45 39.42

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.60
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 0.59 0.94 -- 0.80 5 1 -- 0.68
Annual 12/1/21 0.52 0.86 -- 0.80 7 1 -- 0.55
Annual 12/1/20 0.32 0.80 0.10 0.20 6 -- 1 -24.90
Quarterly 3/1/21 0.14 0.21 -- 0.20 3 1 -- 2.50
Quarterly 6/1/21 0.14 0.21 -- 0.20 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- 3 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 3 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 0.60 0.52 15.76
Annual 12/1/18 0.40 0.40 --
Annual 12/1/17 0.40 0.38 6.67
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.20 0.14 46.34
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.20 0.16 29.03

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,313.54
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 1,437.66 1,810.00 1,337.27 1,378.40 8 2 3 -0.34
Annual 12/1/21 1,301.54 1,390.67 1,193.92 1,281.55 9 2 5 2.23
Annual 12/1/20 1,194.63 1,370.67 1,056.28 1,195.90 9 8 -- 30.94
Quarterly 3/1/21 308.30 364.18 238.66 315.06 6 -- 5 -1.57
Quarterly 6/1/21 335.04 373.20 300.31 330.35 6 3 1 7.31
Quarterly 9/1/20 257.73 367.83 209.39 254.90 7 5 1 37.22
Quarterly 12/1/20 332.92 408.12 259.16 341.40 7 3 3 5.03

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,313.54 1,325.36 -0.89
Annual 12/1/18 1,326.90 1,309.00 1.37
Annual 12/1/17 1,258.08 1,259.77 -0.13
Quarterly 12/1/19 340.98 346.40 -1.56
Quarterly 9/1/19 286.56 316.85 -9.56

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,802.22
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 1,993.76 2,360.50 1,836.93 1,943.46 9 2 1 0.12
Annual 12/1/21 1,824.31 2,000.80 1,700.00 1,803.80 15 4 4 1.21
Annual 12/1/20 1,620.86 1,873.69 1,236.00 1,685.00 13 10 -- 15.05
Quarterly 3/1/21 433.07 491.89 346.00 441.96 10 3 4 0.58
Quarterly 6/1/21 456.48 488.94 422.00 455.85 10 4 3 4.88
Quarterly 9/1/20 375.80 494.04 289.80 381.72 12 8 1 17.58
Quarterly 12/1/20 457.39 534.33 370.30 463.06 12 5 4 1.41

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,802.22 1,807.78 -0.31
Annual 12/1/18 1,761.77 1,756.72 0.29
Annual 12/1/17 1,708.71 1,687.73 1.24
Quarterly 6/1/20 479.66 257.27 86.44
Quarterly 3/1/20 358.67 457.43 -21.59
Quarterly 12/1/19 465.80 468.54 -0.58
Quarterly 9/1/19 404.41 436.66 -7.39

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.13
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 12.07 16.86 10.89 11.24 8 2 3 -3.16
Annual 12/1/21 10.36 11.65 9.33 10.13 10 3 4 0.57
Annual 12/1/20 8.93 11.14 6.42 9.00 9 6 1 19.22
Quarterly 3/1/21 2.53 3.07 1.81 2.59 7 2 3 -0.79
Quarterly 6/1/21 2.78 3.22 2.35 2.66 7 3 1 8.29
Quarterly 9/1/20 2.02 3.09 1.54 1.93 6 4 1 34.93
Quarterly 12/1/20 2.69 3.48 2.00 2.71 6 4 1 8.69

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 9.13 9.01 1.33
Annual 12/1/18 8.31 8.95 -7.19
Annual 12/1/17 7.81 7.28 7.26
Quarterly 6/1/20 2.95 0.72 309.72
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.64 2.56 -35.94
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.79 2.56 8.98
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.10 2.30 -52.15

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 3,922.86
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 3,265.47 4,220.40 1,996.00 3,422.74 4 1 2 -2.15
Annual 12/1/21 3,319.09 4,008.70 2,685.00 3,304.38 6 1 3 -7.67
Annual 12/1/20 3,389.59 3,764.07 3,149.60 3,359.43 6 -- 4 -6.87
Quarterly 3/1/21 3,284.80 3,284.80 3,284.80 3,284.80 1 -- -- 1.30
Quarterly 6/1/21 3,329.20 3,329.20 3,329.20 3,329.20 1 -- -- 2.14
Quarterly 9/1/20 3,293.50 3,293.50 3,293.50 3,293.50 1 -- -- 0.69
Quarterly 12/1/20 3,149.60 3,149.60 3,149.60 3,149.60 1 -- -- 2.87

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 3,922.86 3,967.91 -1.14
Annual 12/1/18 3,893.41 3,919.65 -0.67
Annual 12/1/17 3,965.59 3,871.12 2.44
Quarterly 6/1/20 2,992.40 3,350.40 -10.69
Quarterly 3/1/20 3,750.70 3,935.80 -4.70
Quarterly 12/1/19 3,922.86 3,854.30 1.78
Quarterly 9/1/19 3,889.47 4,088.90 -4.88

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 891.82
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 960.71 1,237.60 848.08 933.30 7 3 3 -0.31
Annual 12/1/21 871.59 1,032.11 805.85 843.76 11 6 3 1.07
Annual 12/1/20 723.78 886.00 355.00 759.40 9 7 1 32.20
Quarterly 3/1/21 192.82 212.20 157.95 196.31 6 -- 4 -3.91
Quarterly 6/1/21 213.95 229.00 202.49 209.28 6 2 2 1.13
Quarterly 9/1/20 122.11 174.41 -2.00 134.92 8 4 1 32.43
Quarterly 12/1/20 200.44 275.10 145.00 196.60 8 2 3 2.33

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 891.82 869.81 2.53
Annual 12/1/18 894.35 887.08 0.82
Annual 12/1/17 725.46 708.86 2.34
Quarterly 6/1/20 250.21 69.85 258.23
Quarterly 3/1/20 150.16 221.05 -32.07
Quarterly 12/1/19 245.10 224.71 9.07
Quarterly 9/1/19 176.26 204.30 -13.72

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 16.37
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 15.46 21.10 12.60 14.06 4 -- -- -2.66
Annual 12/1/21 13.88 15.80 12.50 13.79 6 -- -- -5.56
Annual 12/1/20 13.86 15.80 12.22 13.52 6 -- -- 21.64
Quarterly 3/1/21 13.90 13.90 13.90 13.90 1 -- -- 13.01
Quarterly 6/1/21 14.40 14.40 14.40 14.40 1 -- -- -4.64
Quarterly 9/1/20 11.40 11.40 11.40 11.40 1 -- -- 21.28
Quarterly 12/1/20 15.80 15.80 15.80 15.80 1 -- -- -14.59

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 16.37 15.92 0.45
Annual 12/1/18 17.23 16.88 0.35
Annual 12/1/17 15.24 14.80 0.44
Quarterly 3/1/20 11.00 14.20 -3.20
Quarterly 12/1/19 18.00 15.30 2.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 13.08 14.70 -1.62

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 11,378.26
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 12,496.88 12,995.62 12,304.30 12,385.80 8 4 1 0.97
Annual 12/1/21 12,089.65 12,609.70 11,721.20 12,024.20 12 7 3 0.62
Annual 12/1/20 11,279.02 11,904.22 10,851.68 11,289.19 12 9 2 3.49
Quarterly 3/1/21 2,966.27 3,035.54 2,910.40 2,972.05 9 3 3 0.27
Quarterly 6/1/21 2,971.09 3,131.05 2,857.15 2,962.20 9 3 4 1.73
Quarterly 9/1/20 2,778.82 3,144.41 2,512.51 2,767.30 11 7 2 4.57
Quarterly 12/1/20 2,942.65 3,200.39 2,779.75 2,918.00 11 6 2 0.68

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 11,378.26 11,365.42 0.11
Annual 12/1/18 10,772.28 10,751.35 0.19
Annual 12/1/17 10,409.87 10,400.13 0.09
Quarterly 6/1/20 2,729.75 2,448.14 11.50
Quarterly 3/1/20 2,829.67 2,921.84 -3.15
Quarterly 12/1/19 2,896.25 2,870.70 0.89
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,822.45 2,772.96 1.78

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 10.83 12.20 10.37

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -9.35 17.65 13.48

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