First Call Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 133.59
Price - 52 Week High: 148.27
Price - 52 Week Low: 65.20
Price Date (Latest): 1/15/21
Median Price Target: 148.07
Diff from Prev Close: 14.48
% Difference: 10.84

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.38

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.99
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 10.98
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 11.74 12.25 10.67 11.90 9 1 -- -0.33
Annual 12/1/21 10.79 11.32 9.86 10.80 14 2 1 0.01
Annual 12/1/20 10.34 10.67 10.20 10.32 11 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/21 2.55 2.65 2.41 2.54 11 1 2 -1.20
Quarterly 6/1/21 2.79 3.06 2.51 2.85 11 2 1 0.62
Quarterly 9/1/21 2.48 2.83 2.20 2.46 11 2 1 0.96
Quarterly 12/1/20 2.79 3.10 2.64 2.79 14 1 -- 0.67
Long Term Growth 5.11 6.22 3.20 5.91 3 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 9.99 9.78 2.14
Annual 12/1/18 9.53 9.49 0.43
Annual 12/1/17 7.53 7.38 2.00
Quarterly 9/1/20 2.88 1.92 49.87
Quarterly 6/1/20 2.93 0.74 297.81
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.73 2.55 -32.18
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.79 2.57 8.68

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 63.48
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 90.09 95.84 81.95 91.28 4 1 -- 0.08
Annual 12/1/21 81.08 84.00 75.52 82.41 4 1 -- 0.08
Annual 12/1/20 72.66 73.31 71.71 72.81 4 1 -- 0.04

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 63.48 61.78 2.74
Annual 12/1/18 59.00 57.43 2.73
Annual 12/1/17 58.10 50.44 15.19

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 16.16
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 19.07 19.74 18.45 19.04 4 1 -- 0.24
Annual 12/1/21 14.77 21.79 5.58 17.40 5 -- 2 -11.49
Annual 12/1/20 22.78 30.51 14.54 22.92 5 1 -- 10.82
Quarterly 3/1/21 5.29 6.42 4.15 5.29 2 -- 1 -2.94
Quarterly 6/1/21 4.97 5.52 4.42 4.97 2 -- 1 -0.50
Quarterly 9/1/21 3.15 4.07 2.23 3.15 2 1 -- 3.62
Quarterly 12/1/20 4.41 4.57 4.24 4.41 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 16.16 15.21 6.22
Annual 12/1/18 14.30 13.40 6.73
Annual 12/1/17 12.28 11.78 4.26
Quarterly 9/1/20 8.96 4.06 120.69
Quarterly 6/1/20 11.16 1.79 525.21
Quarterly 3/1/20 5.81 4.50 29.25
Quarterly 12/1/19 4.44 4.15 7.12

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 0.60
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 0.60 0.81 -- 0.80 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 0.55 0.81 -- 0.80 8 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 0.31 0.80 0.20 0.20 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/21 0.13 0.20 -- 0.20 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/21 0.13 0.20 -- 0.20 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/21 0.13 0.20 -- 0.20 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 3 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 0.60 0.52 15.76
Annual 12/1/18 0.40 0.40 --
Annual 12/1/17 0.40 0.38 6.67
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.20 0.14 46.34

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,313.54
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 1,427.73 1,486.70 1,353.00 1,418.18 8 -- 2 -0.33
Annual 12/1/21 1,338.61 1,411.42 1,284.11 1,340.73 10 -- 2 -0.29
Annual 12/1/20 1,286.75 1,312.76 1,269.51 1,287.49 10 -- 1 -0.07
Quarterly 3/1/21 319.60 325.93 309.00 319.80 6 -- 2 -1.96
Quarterly 6/1/21 346.34 368.30 324.90 349.07 6 -- 2 -0.39
Quarterly 9/1/21 310.65 355.66 288.88 303.62 6 1 1 1.19
Quarterly 12/1/20 348.38 368.36 334.92 348.59 7 -- 1 -0.38

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,313.54 1,325.36 -0.89
Annual 12/1/18 1,326.90 1,309.00 1.37
Annual 12/1/17 1,258.08 1,259.77 -0.13
Quarterly 12/1/19 340.98 346.40 -1.56

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,802.22
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 1,950.96 2,034.04 1,863.00 1,944.06 10 -- -- -0.12
Annual 12/1/21 1,857.77 1,921.00 1,774.12 1,866.25 14 -- 2 -0.07
Annual 12/1/20 1,779.73 1,815.28 1,690.00 1,780.40 14 -- -- 0.09
Quarterly 3/1/21 436.37 452.10 365.00 445.34 8 -- 1 -1.56
Quarterly 6/1/21 464.62 486.04 406.00 476.49 8 -- 1 -0.94
Quarterly 9/1/21 448.92 527.00 411.83 434.75 8 1 -- 1.03
Quarterly 12/1/20 471.26 494.33 451.68 464.70 11 -- -- 0.43

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,802.22 1,807.78 -0.31
Annual 12/1/18 1,761.77 1,756.72 0.29
Annual 12/1/17 1,708.71 1,687.73 1.24
Quarterly 9/1/20 472.82 378.08 25.06
Quarterly 6/1/20 479.66 257.27 86.44
Quarterly 3/1/20 358.67 457.43 -21.59
Quarterly 12/1/19 465.80 468.54 -0.58

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.13
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 11.73 12.05 11.21 11.94 6 1 -- 1.01
Annual 12/1/21 10.78 11.32 9.82 10.88 8 1 1 0.38
Annual 12/1/20 10.25 10.50 10.17 10.21 6 -- -- 0.40
Quarterly 3/1/21 2.59 2.65 2.48 2.64 5 1 1 -1.16
Quarterly 6/1/21 2.87 3.06 2.72 2.89 5 1 1 1.20
Quarterly 9/1/21 2.57 2.77 2.42 2.54 5 2 -- 2.37
Quarterly 12/1/20 2.87 3.10 2.75 2.85 5 -- -- 1.89

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 9.13 9.01 1.33
Annual 12/1/18 8.31 8.95 -7.19
Annual 12/1/17 7.81 7.28 7.26
Quarterly 9/1/20 2.82 2.04 38.12
Quarterly 6/1/20 2.95 0.72 309.72
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.64 2.56 -35.94
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.79 2.56 8.98

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 3,922.86
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 2,503.67 3,254.00 1,970.00 2,122.29 5 -- 1 -0.02
Annual 12/1/21 2,902.69 3,359.00 2,629.86 2,782.50 7 1 -- 0.06
Annual 12/1/20 2,890.57 3,650.00 2,234.30 2,834.64 7 -- 1 -3.76
Quarterly 3/1/21 2,229.40 2,229.40 2,229.40 2,229.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/21 2,585.40 2,585.40 2,585.40 2,585.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/21 2,695.40 2,695.40 2,695.40 2,695.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 2,234.30 2,234.30 2,234.30 2,234.30 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 3,922.86 3,967.91 -1.14
Annual 12/1/18 3,893.41 3,919.65 -0.67
Annual 12/1/17 3,965.59 3,871.12 2.44
Quarterly 9/1/20 2,507.95 3,293.50 -23.85
Quarterly 6/1/20 2,992.40 3,350.40 -10.69
Quarterly 3/1/20 3,750.70 3,935.80 -4.70
Quarterly 12/1/19 3,922.86 3,854.30 1.78

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 891.82
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 979.81 1,046.83 891.98 987.14 8 1 -- 0.04
Annual 12/1/21 928.89 1,032.11 819.93 935.15 10 1 -- 0.97
Annual 12/1/20 859.94 900.13 697.40 873.89 9 -- 1 0.10
Quarterly 3/1/21 215.58 225.62 203.66 216.52 4 -- -- 0.47
Quarterly 6/1/21 236.38 247.27 209.32 244.47 4 -- -- 2.95
Quarterly 9/1/21 210.39 239.90 181.94 209.86 4 -- -- 1.61
Quarterly 12/1/20 225.84 253.28 162.64 234.67 6 -- -- 0.52

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 891.82 869.81 2.53
Annual 12/1/18 894.35 887.08 0.82
Annual 12/1/17 725.46 708.86 2.34
Quarterly 9/1/20 246.48 147.15 67.51
Quarterly 6/1/20 250.21 69.85 258.23
Quarterly 3/1/20 150.16 221.05 -32.07
Quarterly 12/1/19 245.10 224.71 9.07

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 16.37
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 13.73 14.98 12.60 13.66 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/21 14.15 14.70 13.30 14.22 6 -- -- 0.12
Annual 12/1/20 15.15 15.80 14.80 15.10 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/21 13.90 13.90 13.90 13.90 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/21 14.40 14.40 14.40 14.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/21 11.40 11.40 11.40 11.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 15.80 15.80 15.80 15.80 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 16.37 15.92 0.45
Annual 12/1/18 17.23 16.88 0.35
Annual 12/1/17 15.24 14.80 0.44
Quarterly 9/1/20 16.92 11.40 5.52
Quarterly 6/1/20 4.51 4.70 -0.19
Quarterly 3/1/20 11.00 14.20 -3.20
Quarterly 12/1/19 18.00 15.30 2.70

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 11,378.26
FY0 End Date: 12/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/22 12,479.46 12,870.72 12,115.46 12,482.00 9 -- 1 0.00
Annual 12/1/21 11,986.80 12,329.00 11,584.04 12,058.46 13 -- 2 -0.22
Annual 12/1/20 11,449.17 11,632.35 11,267.30 11,454.34 13 -- 1 0.02
Quarterly 3/1/21 2,974.24 3,013.91 2,921.10 2,975.77 9 -- 1 0.07
Quarterly 6/1/21 2,956.65 3,029.90 2,843.14 2,969.05 9 -- 1 -0.59
Quarterly 9/1/21 2,955.24 3,065.80 2,758.96 2,991.82 9 -- 1 -0.23
Quarterly 12/1/20 2,992.23 3,160.39 2,895.86 2,982.38 11 -- 1 0.08

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/19 11,378.26 11,365.42 0.11
Annual 12/1/18 10,772.28 10,751.35 0.19
Annual 12/1/17 10,409.87 10,400.13 0.09
Quarterly 9/1/20 2,912.54 2,781.78 4.70
Quarterly 6/1/20 2,729.75 2,448.14 11.50
Quarterly 3/1/20 2,829.67 2,921.84 -3.15
Quarterly 12/1/19 2,896.25 2,870.70 0.89

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 13.37 12.92 12.38

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 5.75 4.33 8.82

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